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Factoid

Receivers catching new contracts

More hits than misses with transplanted pass catchers

Free agency is poised to kick off, and there are a decent crop of wide receivers hitting the open market, with Alec Pierce leading the way. He ascended last year for the Colts, looking like a guy who’s now going to cash in.

Other receivers headed for the open market include Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Romeo Doubs, Rashid Shaheed, Jauan Jennings and Wan’Dale Robinson.

The Bills kicked things off earlier today, swinging a trade for DJ Moore. He’ll be their lead guy. (The Moore trade also makes me more comfortable in buying into the idea of Luther Burden being one of this year’s breakout receivers.)

There were be some notable shuffling in the next week. Typically at this position, however, there are far more misses than hits.

In the last 10 years, 47 wide receivers have posted top-40 numbers (using PPR scoring), then switched to a new team in the offseason – be it by trade or free agency. But only 12 of those 47 receivers have been posted better numbers with their new team. (In the chart below, I’ve got them tagged with black dots).

Instead, 20 of those 47 receivers – darn half – have seen their stats fall by at least 30 percent in their first season with their new team.

TOP 40 RECEIVERS CHANGING TEAMS
YearPlayerNoYdsTDPPGRkNewDiff
2015Travis Benjamin, Cle.689666201.828S.D.-31%
2015Tavon Austin, St.L.5247310202.727LAR-27%
2015Marvin Jones, Cin.658164173.936Det.-1%
2015• Anquan Boldin, S.F.697894171.940Det.1%
2016Cameron Meredith, Chi.668884183.538N.O.-86%
2016Terrelle Pryor, Cle.7710075213.920Was.-77%
2016Pierre Garcon, Was.7910413201.124S.F.-55%
2016Brandin Cooks, N.O.7811738246.310N.E.-10%
2017Mike Wallace, Balt.527484151.238Phil.-100%
2017Dez Bryant, Dall.698386188.424Balt.-88%
2017Paul Richardson, Sea.447036150.339Was.-61%
2017Michael Crabtree, Oak.586188171.830Balt.-23%
2017Jarvis Landry, Mia.1129879264.04Cle.-17%
2017• Brandin Cooks, N.E.6510827221.215LAR10%
2018Antonio Brown, Pitt.104129715323.75N.E.-95%
2018Adam Humphries, T.B.768165188.724Ten.-54%
2018Demaryius Thomas, 2TM596775156.739NYJ-46%
2018Golden Tate, 2TM747954182.931NYG-16%
2018Odell Beckham, NYG7710526233.415Cle.-13%
2019Emmanuel Sanders, 2TM668695190.732N.O.-14%
2019• DeAndre Hopkins, Hou.10411657270.64Ari.8%
2019• Robby Anderson, NYJ527795162.340Car.39%
2019• Stefon Diggs, Min.6311306218.121Buff.51%
2020Will Fuller, Hou.538798188.932Mia.-95%
2020Curtis Samuel, Car.778515212.124Was.-95%
2020Corey Davis, Ten.659845193.429NYJ-45%
2020Nelson Agholor, L.V.488968185.634N.E.-44%
2020Marvin Jones, Det.769789227.818Jac.-21%
2021Hollywood Brown, Balt.9110086228.321Ari.-32%
2021Russell Gage, Atl.667704167.037T.B.-25%
2021Davante Adams, G.B.123155311344.32L.V.-3%
2021• Tyreek Hill, K.C.11112399298.56Mia.16%
2021• Christian Kirk, Ari.779825208.026Jac.17%
2021• Amari Cooper, Dall.688658202.527Cle.22%
2021• A.J. Brown, Ten.638695180.933Phil.68%
2022JuJu Smith-Schuster, K.C.789333189.327N.E.-68%
2022Allen Lazard, G.B.607886174.834NYJ-66%
2022• Jakobi Meyers, N.E.678046184.329L.V.19%
2022• Adam Thielen, Min.707166180.031Car.28%
2022• DJ Moore, Car.638887199.125Chi.45%
2023Stefon Diggs, Buff.10711838275.89Hou.-56%
2023Keenan Allen, LAC10812437281.48Chi.-34%
2023Calvin Ridley, Jac.7610168229.918Ten.-12%
2024Cooper Kupp, LAR677106175.038Sea.-31%
2024Davante Adams, 2TM8510638241.312LAR-8%
2024DK Metcalf, Sea.669925195.231Pitt.-4%
2024Keenan Allen, Chi.707447186.434LAC-2%

—Ian Allan

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