Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa go head-to-head on Sunday, and that’s a notable matchup: two quarterbacks who could be notable players at the position for years. Herbert has been ripping it up for two months, while Tagovailoa comes off his first big game as a pro.

If we shift the attention from 2020 and look more long-term, Herbert looks like the stronger choice right now, given what he’s been able to do in a half season as a starter. Tagovailoa may have been selected one pick earlier in the draft in April, but I think most NFL teams and fantasy GMs right now would prefer Herbert if given that choice.

Herbert has been good enough, in fact, that I wonder how many would select him before even the third of the high-profile rookie quarterbacks. Joe Burrow has more than met expectations for the Bengals, but I think Herbert has been a little more impressive. I would be torn between those quarterbacks.

If I were walking into a dynasty draft today, I would be locked in on Patrick Mahomes as the top quarterback on the board. (I think pretty much everyone would.). It’s after him that the decisions get trickier. Russell Wilson has been awesome this year, but Deshaun Watson is really good and is seven years younger. Kyler Murray is a dynamic pass-run threat in his second year, but I don’t know how long his playing style is sustainable.

Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are both in their third year, and they’ve both put up some great numbers, but I think Herbert and Burrow can be compared to those guys (as long-term prospects). There’s also Aaron Rodgers, but he’s 36, which has to decrease his value somewhat – these are long-term rankings.

The list here is put together by hand. Basically, I’m just going through the thing over and over and trying to make it feel right, balancing how good the guys are right now versus what they might be doing in 3-5 years. Assume standard scoring and a 12-team league, with fantasy franchises holding the rights to players indefinitely.

With dynasty leagues, I hit a different position each Saturday. Last week it was wide receivers. Next week it will be running backs. To see the previous versions, use the “past issues” links on the right side of the page.

1.KCPatrick Mahomes251
2.HOUDeshaun Watson252
3.SEARussell Wilson313
4.ARIKyler Murray 238
5.LAC• Justin Herbert237
6.CIN• Joe Burrow226
7.BUFJosh Allen245
8.BALLamar Jackson234
9.GBAaron Rodgers369
10.LARJared Goff2611
11.DALDak Prescott2713
12.DETMatthew Stafford3210
13.PHICarson Wentz2714
14.LVDerek Carr2917
15.MIA• Tua Tagovailoa2218
16.NYGDaniel Jones 2319
17.CLEBaker Mayfield2516
18.TENRyan Tannehill3221
19.MINKirk Cousins3220
20.ATLMatt Ryan3525
21.NECam Newton3112
22.PITBen Roethlisberger3822
23.TBTom Brady4323
24.NODrew Brees4126
25.CARTeddy Bridgewater2824
26.DENDrew Lock 2428
27.NOTaysom Hill3031
28.NYJSam Darnold2329
29.JACGardner Minshew 2515
30.CHINick Foles3130
31.SFJimmy Garoppolo2932
32.GB• Jordan Love2233
33.INDPhilip Rivers3836
34.JAC• Jake Luton24--
35.DALAndy Dalton3327
36.WASDwayne Haskins 2337
37.INDJacoby Brissett2738
38.MIARyan Fitzpatrick3834
39.CLECase Keenum3243
40.WASKyle Allen2435
41.NOJameis Winston2640
42.PHI• Jalen Hurts2242
43.SFNick Mullens2549
44.NEJarrett Stidham 2446
45.WASAlex Smith36--
46.CHIMitchell Trubisky2641
47.LACTyrod Taylor3144
48.NYJJoe Flacco3548
49.DENBrett Rypien24--
50.KCChad Henne3547

—Ian Allan