Fantasy Index

Active Banner
PLAYOFF CHEAT SHEETS ON SALE NOW.
SIGN UP

Factoid

Ricky Pearsall

Deep dive on San Francisco's first-round receiver

The 49ers have one of the best receiving tandems in the league, but they took another wide receiver at the end of the first round anyway. Financially, it will be tough to keep Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel together, so it made sense to bring in a potential replacement. If they’ve got Ricky Pearsall scouted properly, I expect he’ll be starting in Week 1 next year. Maybe sooner.

Aiyuk, after all, is embroiled in a contract dispute with the team, while Samuel’s physical style of play results in him picking up more injuries than others at the position.

With that in mind, I took a look at all of Pearsall’s targets from the 2023 season. They’re all available on YouTube, courtesy of Adrian Sienko. Looking at all 94 of Pearsall’s targets consecutively allows you to get a general sense of how he was used at Florida, and how that might translate to the pros.

Pearsall, you may recall, had arguably the Catch of The Year – a leaping, back-handed job with one hand that went for 27 yards. I can recall seeing only one other receiver make such a catch (with the hand flipped backwards) – Anquan Boldin at Seattle long ago. Grade down the catch a notch, if you wish, for it coming in a throwaway laugher against Charlotte.

Pearsall’s most impressive game was instead at South Carolina. In that one, he had a Willie Mays’ style catch, making a late adjustment to catch it over the other shoulder for 26 yards. On the game-winning drive in that game, he converted a fourth-and-long with a 25-yard catch that was somewhat contested, then caught the game-winning touchdown with 47 seconds left.

While Pearsall had a couple of notable catches, I wouldn’t say his hands are unusually good. He had 2 pure drops by my count, plus 5 others that might be called partial drops (2 in contested situations, and 3 where the throw wasn’t ideal).

Two big errors that I saw. After a short catch against Arkansas, he had the ball ripped out of his hands for a touchdown going the other way. And at Utah, one of his true drops resulted in an interception setting up the Utes near Florida’s goal line.

Most of Pearsall’s catches were of the short variety. By my count, I saw 21 catches behind the line of scrimmage, and 18 were short, underneath receptions. I did not see notable after-the-catch ability in those situations. He averaged just over 6 yards per catch on those 39 receptions, and with no touchdowns. (I do not envision Pearsall ever developing into a Deebo-type weapon who’s terrorizing defenses once the ball is in his hands).

Pearsall was reasonably effective with his longer balls. On what I will call “medium” passes, he caught 18 of 24 attempts, for 352 yards. And I have him at 11 of 21 on “long” balls, for 340 yards, with all 4 of his touchdowns. But that’s just ball-parking it (I didn’t specifically define “medium” and “long” – I just went by what they felt like.

In the chart below, “BLOS” = behind the line of scrimmage. Yardage figures are my own estimates rather than the official numbers.

PEARSALL BY TARGET DEPTH
RangeTgtNoYardsAvgTD
BLOS25211416.70
short24181045.80
medium241835219.60
long211134030.94
Total946596514.84

The 49ers selected Pearsall in the first round. He has that going for him. They wouldn’t have drafted him if they didn’t have some belief he’ll develop into an starter. But he doesn’t seem like anything special to me.

I guess he did a reasonable job of getting open on short routes, but I don’t think he’s anything special after the catch.

I don’t think see him as particularly likely to excel in contested ball situations. Especially around the goal line. He didn’t catch any short touchdowns last year. I recall seeing a couple of fade route misses, along with a goal-line screen where he was stopped. (As a reminder, the 49ers hardly used Deebo and Aiyuk as pass-catchers inside the 10 last year.)

While Pearsall averaged 31 yards on his 11 long-ball connections last year, he doesn’t seem like a deep-ball guy to me. He looked pretty comfortably smothered on a couple of long attempts against Georgia. I wouldn’t think he’ll be turning into another Aiyuk in a year or two. His measurables are pretty ordinary. At the Combine, he measured 6-foot-1 and 189 pounds, and ran 4.41.

I will respect that the 49ers are hopeful he’ll develop into something. That makes Pearsall a guy worth drafting in a dynasty format – maybe he develops into something in 2025 or 2026. But without having much confidence that will actually happen, I would be inclined to look elsewhere, letting somebody else grab Pearsall.

With Jauan Jennings having played well at times, I’m not confident Pearsall will even be San Francisco’s 3rd-best receiver this season.

There were a couple of other wide receivers that were picked just after Pearsall in the early second round: Ladd McConkey and Keon Coleman. I would be inclined to pick both of those guys before Pearsall (definitely for 2024).

My notes are below. I have the targets ordered by depth, with all the behind-the-line-of-scrimmage attempts first, followed by the short, medium and long attempts.

RICKY PEARSALL'S 2023 PLAYS
OppGainDepthNote
Ark.• 8BLOS• flat, fumbled (ret for TD)
Ark.incBLOSdrop, contested
Ark.1BLOSopen, right flat
Ark.8BLOSright flat, YAC
at Ken.9BLOScheckdown to flat
at LSU7BLOSquick to flat
at S.C.2BLOSin the flat
at UtahincBLOSdrop (behind him)
at Utah1BLOSpop pass
at Utah7BLOSquick to flat
at Utah6BLOSquick to flat
at Utah12BLOSquick to flat, YAC for 1st down
Char.9BLOSin the flat
Char.5BLOSweakside flip
Ga.20BLOSopen, left flat
Ga.0BLOSpop pass
McN. St.14BLOSquick to flat, YAC for 1st down
Tenn.incBLOSdrop
Tenn.4BLOSpop pass
Tenn.8BLOSquick to flat
Tenn.5BLOSquick to flat
Tenn.0BLOSquick to flat
Tenn.8BLOSquick to flat, YAC for 1st down
Tenn.incBLOStraffic, miscommunication
Vand.7BLOSin the flat
Ark.4shortunderneath, middle of field
at LSU14shortopen, middle of field
at LSU10shortopen, right side
at Mo.7shortcrossing route
at S.C.incshortdrop (sort of) caught by teammate
at S.C.incshortfade into end zone, off target
at S.C.10shortopen, left sideline
at S.C.8shortsettle into middle of field
at Utah• INTshortdrop (bounce up for pick) int
at Utah7shortunderneath
at Utah6shortunderneath, middle of field
Ga.2shortright sideline
McN. St.incshortfade into end zone, contested
McN. St.7shortin the flat
McN. St.13shortin traffic, middle of field
Tenn.8shortunderneath
Tenn.8shortunderneath
Vand.7shortcontested catch
Vand.7shortcrossing, first down
Vand.incshortoff target
at Mo.39RUNend-around, TD run
Ga.-3RUNend-around
Vand.9RUNend-around
Vand.14RUNend-around, TD run
Ark.incmediummaybe not intended target
at Ken.20mediumafter QB scramble
at LSUincmediumhigh throw
at LSU9mediumleaping catch, first down
at LSU19mediumopen, middle of field
at LSU12mediumworks back to QB
at Mo.60mediumopen, defender falls down
at S.C.22mediumopen, left sideline
at S.C.17mediumopen, middle of field
at S.C.17mediumopen, right sideline
at S.C.14mediumsettle into middle of field
at Utahincmediumpass into end zone
at Utah12mediumright sideline
Char.22mediumopen
Char.18mediumopen, middle of field
FSU16mediumcontested catch
Ga.incmediumcontested situation
Ga.23mediumopen, crossing route
Ga.14mediumplay-action, left sideline
McN. St.incmediumdrop, high throw
McN. St.17mediumopen, flattened after catch
McN. St.23mediumopen, right sideline
Tenn.incmediumattempted 1-handed catch
Vand.17mediumopen, right sideline
Ark.inclongdeep ball, not open, off target
Ark.inclongdeep ball, not open, off target
Ark.32longopen, deep, TD
at Ken.inclongdrop, contested
at Ken.33longopen, YAC, leaps for TD
at LSU32longleaping catch, contested
at Mo.inclongnot open, off target
at S.C.25long4th-and-long, contested
at S.C.26longopen, Willie Mays catch
at S.C.21longpost route, TD, 47 seconds left
at S.C.inclongcontested situation
at Utahinclongcovered, att 1-handed catch
at Utahinclongend-zone shot, not there
at Utah39longright sideline, open
Char.27longleaping 1-handed catch
Char.27longright sideline
Ga.inclongnot open, right sideline
Ga.inclongoff target, not open
Ga.28longopen, deep down the middle
McN. St.50longpost route, wide open, TD
Vand.inclongopen, off target

—Ian Allan

Fantasy Index