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Wilson!

Garrett Wilson's value takes a punch in the gut

Aw, crap. What else to say? We’re not going to get 17 games of rejuvenated Aaron Rodgers. We’re getting instead Zach Wilson. And that makes Garrett Wilson look a lot more like Clark Kent than Superman.

Garrett Wilson was looking like the season’s breakout receiver, possibly or probably moving up into the Jefferson-Chase-Tyreek stratosphere. He was Rodgers’ guy, and they were going to connect on a bushel of touchdowns.

“The first of many,” Rodgers said to the second-year receiver after they connected on an impeccable short-range touchdown in the preseason game against the Giants.

If only.

We’re still talking about one of the best pass-catching talents in the league. The touchdown on Monday night may go down as the best catch of the year. But Garrett Wilson nowadays is looking more like a top-20 receiver, rather than an All-Pro candidate.

The stats are pretty ugly. In 11 games with Zach Wilson, Garrett Wilson has averaged only 3.8 catches for 45 yards, with 1 TD in those 44 quarters of play.

WILSON WITH WILSON AT QB
OppScoreTgtNoYdsAvgTD
at Pitt.W 24-20624120.50
Mia.W 40-1743279.00
at G.B.W 27-105188.00
at Den.W 16-944246.00
N.E.L 17-227611519.20
Buff.W 20-17989211.50
at N.E.L 3-1032126.00
Det.L 17-20949824.50
Jac.L 3-1994307.50
Buff.W 22-1655346.81

Other than that one jaw-dropping catch Monday night, all of Wilson’s best work as come with other quarterbacks. In seven games with non-Zach quarterbacks last year, he averaged 6.6 catches for 91 yards, with 4 TDs. He averaged almost 3 more catches per week, and for twice as many yards.

WILSON WITH OTHER QUARTERBACKS
OppScoreTgtNoYdsAvgTD
Balt.L 9-24845213.00
at Cle.W 31-3014810212.82
Cin.L 12-271166010.00
Chi.W 31-10859519.02
at Min.L 22-2715816220.30
at Sea.L 6-23113186.00
at Buff.L 12-20767813.00
at Mia.L 6-11179899.90

The flicker of hope is that Zach Wilson is a better passer now than he was in his first two seasons. As seen on Hard Knocks, Rodgers seemed to be effectively mentoring him. But I’m expecting a big statistical drop from the Jets, with probably a dozen fewer touchdown passes. At least.

—Ian Allan

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