Dynasty Leagues

September 24, 2022

Oh, Henry

Can Titans get Henry back to elite production?

Have we seen the last greatness out of Derrick Henry? He’s closing in on 29, and he’s trying to run behind an offensive line that’s a shell of what it’s been in the past. He averaged under 2 yards per carry on Monday night, and he finished short of 4 yards per attempt in the opener against the Giants.

With a lot of carries on his odometer and the years adding up, I’m not confident that Henry is quite the same back he’s been. And whatever he’s lost is being magnified by the cast around him being not as good. The OL took another hit on Monday night when left tackle Taylor Lewan suffered a knee injury that might be a season ending. (Though an optimist would point out that Henry went over 2,000 yards two years ago despite Lewan playing in only five games.)

But in a dynasty league, I would be more interested in casting my lot with a younger guy. I’ve seen 21-year-old Breece Hall pop a couple of runs. He looks like he’s going to be a good pro for a lot of years (even if he hasn’t yet become a starter for the Jets). And 22-year-old Dameon Pierce, I think, holds more dynasty value than Henry.

With dynasty rankings, you’re trying to strike a balance of what players are doing right now, and what they’re going to be doing a few years from now. When you have two players who are anywhere close to ability, the tendency is to go with the younger player.

At running back, the top 3 on my board (for dynasty purposes) are all under 24. I would go with Jonathan Taylor first, and then I think it’s a toss-up between Javonte Williams and D’Andre Swift. I went with Williams. He hasn’t quite done it yet, but I think he will. And with Swift, I’m a little worried about his ability to stay healthy.

I turn my attention to dynasty leagues each Saturday, rotating between the four notable positions. I’m hitting running backs today. Last week it was quarterbacks (to access those, click on the “past issues” dates on the right, and next week it will be tight ends.

Our 2022 rankings (both seasonal and weekly) are generated by projecting stats for each player. These ones are different. They’re done by hand. I put together a list of all the running backs, then go through a few times, moving guys up and down until it feels right.

Rankings here assume PPR scoring, and rookies are tagged with black dots. With them being “dynasty” rankings, the assumption is that teams would have the ability to hold onto players indefinitely.

DYNASTY LEAGUE RUNNING BACKS
Rk	Tm	Player	Age
1.	IND	Jonathan Taylor	23.7
2.	DEN	Javonte Williams	22.4
3.	DET	D'Andre Swift	23.7
4.	NYG	Saquon Barkley	25.6
5.	CAR	Christian McCaffrey	26.3
6.	PIT	Najee Harris	24.6
7.	CIN	Joe Mixon	26.2
8.	MIN	Dalvin Cook	27.1
9.	CLE	Nick Chubb	26.8
10.	NYJ	• Breece Hall	21.3
11.	LAC	Austin Ekeler	27.4
12.	GB	AJ Dillon	24.4
13.	GB	Aaron Jones	27.8
14.	TB	Leonard Fournette	27.7
15.	NO	Alvin Kamara	27.2
16.	HOU	• Dameon Pierce	22.6
17.	TEN	Derrick Henry	28.7
18.	ARI	James Conner	27.4
19.	SF	Elijah Mitchell	24.4
20.	CHI	David Montgomery	25.3
21.	LV	Josh Jacobs	24.6
22.	NE	Damien Harris	25.6
23.	PHI	Miles Sanders	25.4
24.	BAL	J.K. Dobbins	23.8
25.	JAC	Travis Etienne	23.7
26.	CLE	Kareem Hunt	27.2
27.	NE	Rhamondre Stevenson	24.6
28.	KC	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	23.5
29.	DAL	Ezekiel Elliott	27.2
30.	WAS	• Brian Robinson	23.5
31.	SEA	Rashaad Penny	26.7
32.	BUF	Devin Singletary	25.1
33.	LAR	Cam Akers	23.3
34.	DAL	Tony Pollard	25.4
35.	ATL	Cordarrelle Patterson	31.5
36.	JAC	James Robinson	24.1
37.	SEA	• Ken Walker	21.9
38.	LAR	Darrell Henderson	25.1
39.	WAS	Antonio Gibson	24.3
40.	TB	• Rachaad White	23.7
41.	NYJ	Michael Carter	23.4
42.	BUF	• James Cook	23.0
43.	MIA	Chase Edmonds	26.5
44.	IND	Nyheim Hines	25.9
45.	KC	• Isiah Pacheco	23.6
46.	LV	• Zamir White	23.0
47.	CHI	Khalil Herbert	24.4
48.	DEN	Melvin Gordon	29.5
49.	MIA	Raheem Mostert	30.5
50.	SF	Jeff Wilson	26.9
51.	MIN	Alexander Mattison	24.3
52.	PHI	Kenneth Gainwell	23.5
53.	WAS	J.D. McKissic	29.1
54.	LAC	Joshua Kelley	24.9
55.	PIT	• Jaylen Warren	23.9
56.	ATL	• Tyler Allgeier	22.5
57.	KC	Jerick McKinnon	30.4
58.	HOU	Rex Burkhead	32.3
59.	SF	• Tyrion Davis-Price	21.9
60.	DET	Jamaal Williams	27.5
61.	BUF	Zack Moss	24.8
62.	PHI	Boston Scott	27.4
63.	MIN	• Ty Chandler	24.4
64.	NE	Ty Montgomery	29.7
65.	NO	Mark Ingram	32.8
66.	ARI	Eno Benjamin	23.5
67.	CAR	D'Onta Foreman	26.4
68.	CIN	Chris Evans	25.0
69.	LAR	• Kyren Williams	22.1
70.	CLE	• Jerome Ford	23.0
71.	TEN	Dontrell Hilliard	27.6
72.	NYG	Gary Brightwell	23.6
73.	LAC	Sony Michel	27.6
74.	CIN	Samaje Perine	27.0
75.	ARI	Darrel Williams	27.5
76.	NE	• Pierre Strong	23.8
77.	CLE	D'Ernest Johnson	26.6
78.	LAC	• Isaiah Spiller	21.1
79.	SEA	DeeJay Dallas	24.0
80.	MIA	Salvon Ahmed	23.8

—Ian Allan

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